2016 Election Observer: David Campbell

first_imgEditor’s Note: Throughout the 2016 presidential campaign, The Observer will sit down with Notre Dame experts to break down the election and its importance to students. In this first installment, Managing Editor Jack Rooney asks Political Science Department Chair David Campbell about the upcoming primaries and the biggest issues of the campaign.Jack Rooney: Iowa caucuses in less than two weeks and New Hampshire votes about a week after that. With voting now imminent and Donald Trump still near the top of most Republican polls, does he actually have a shot at the nomination? David Campbell: This, of course, is the $64,000 question. Everything we know—or thought we knew—about presidential nominations has been upended by Trump. Based on past research, it would seem that he does not have a chance—his supporters have a low likelihood of turning out, the party establishment is against him and (it is easy to forget) he is actually not all that conservative. On the other hand, he keeps defying expectations. I would put his chances, however, at no better than 1 in 3.JR: For the Democrats, Hillary Clinton seems to be the consensus candidate within the party. Is there any way she doesn’t get the nomination?DC: She is definitely the odds-on favorite. While it is tempting to compare Sanders to Obama in 2008, when Obama was able to beat Clinton in spite of her frontrunner status, there are big differences between them. For one thing, Clinton’s lead in endorsements among the Democratic establishment is much greater this year than in 2008. And Sanders is no Obama. His difficulty attracting support among minorities is a huge problem for him.JR: The primary debates, especially the Republican debates, seem to have generated more interest and attention this campaign. Based on political science research, though, how much do the debates matter for candidates and voters?DC: Debates are like pep rallies, as they can fire up supporters. But they rarely change voters’ minds.JR: Moving beyond the upcoming primaries, in your research and opinion, which issue or issues are set to play the biggest role in the general election?DC: At home, income inequality and the uneven performance of the economy are sure to be top issues — that is, by many indicators, the economy is booming, and yet wages have stagnated. I am curious to see whether the Democratic nominee decides to make gun control a high priority issue. In the past, they have skirted this, but it has recently become more salient. Abroad, expect to hear a lot of discussion about ISIS and safeguarding Americans from terrorism. Historically, this would make the election like a combination of 2004 — a national security election — and 2008, which was focused more on the domestic economy.JR: More specific to a college campus like Notre Dame, which issue do you think should matter most to college students this election cycle?DC: I would pick two. First, the inequality in the current economic system is a pressing issue, as it means that America is losing its traditional middle class. This affects all of us. Second, the environment should continue to be a concern, as it is for many millennials already. While I do not expect the environment to be a top issue in the general election, this does not negate its importance for the rising generation.Tags: 2016, 2016 presidential campaign, 2016 Presidential Election, Debates, Donald Trump, hillary clinton, income inequality, Iowa Caucus, ISIS, New Hampshire Primary, political sciencelast_img read more

Most Wanted! Philosophy for Gangsters Opens Off-Broadway

first_img The cast features Courtney Romano, Tom White, David Demato, Tally Sessions, Bruno Iannone, Shabazz Green, Kyle Robert Carter and Leajato Amara Robinson. Philosophy for Gangsters follows Mafia heiress Callie Rizzoli who has a lot on her plate. A street gang is fighting to take over her territory. She wants to make someone pay for her parents’ deaths. To top it off, she and the philosopher she’s kidnapped are lifted to top slot on the FBI’s Most Wanted List. Philosophy for Gangsters is a clever, provocative comedy about ideas and messy deaths. Show Closed This production ended its run on March 1, 2014 View Comments Philosophy For Gangsters Philosophy for Gangsters makes an offer you can’t refuse as it opens February 4 at The Beckett Theatre. Written and directed by Barry and Reparta Peak, the mobster comedy will play a limited off-Broadway engagement through March 1. Related Showslast_img read more

Bayside Sandgate is Brisbane’s fastest growing suburb

first_imgFamilies are drawn to the area for its lifestyle. More from newsParks and wildlife the new lust-haves post coronavirus14 hours agoNoosa’s best beachfront penthouse is about to hit the market14 hours ago Cowboy’s home snapped up amid rental squeeze South Brisbane (Brisbane Council) Houses $1.07m 27.5 per cent The Shorncliffe Pier is a popular spot for photographers. Birkdale (Redland Council) Units $384,500 27.6 per cent Brookwater (Ipswich Council) Houses $810,000 27.2 per cent (Source: CoreLogic Market Trends – February) Dutton Park (Brisbane Council) Houses $1.028m 26.5 per cent 9/28 Second Avenue, Sandgate, sold for $665,000 on December 13, 2018. The waterfront is literally down the road. MORE: Australia’s biggest fixer-uppercenter_img Sandgate is renowned as a haven for beach lovers, especially those who like cycling along the waterfront, skateboarding, windsurfing and kite surfing plus the beach is dog friendly. It also has access to the Shorncliffe Pier, which has been revamped and is a popular spot for photography.It was one of six suburbs in the Brisbane region where prices jumped by over 25 per cent in one year. Lamb Island (Redland Council) Houses $240,000 33.3 per cent Wide roads and room to move.Houses in Lamb Island in Redland Council area were the only other ones to deliver a median sales price jump of over a third, up by 33.3 per cent to $240,000.Redland suburb Birkdales saw its unit values jump 27.6 per cent to $384,500, houses in South Brisbane were up 27.5 per cent to top $1.07m, while those in Brookwater in Ipswich were up 27.2 per cent to $810,000 and inner-city Dutton Park also surged 26.5 per cent to $1.028m. FASTEST GROWING BRISBANE SUBURBS: The median sales price of units in Sandgate jumped a massive 34.9 per cent in just one year.This is the fastest growing suburb in Brisbane, where prices jumped almost 35 per cent in just one year. CoreLogic Market Trends February report showed that Sandgate, in northern part of the Brisbane region, pulled the fastest growth of all suburbs in the Queensland capital.The median cost of units sold in the area in past 12 months jumped a massive 34.9 per cent – the highest performance of units and houses across the entire capital.In the past three months alone, the cost of units sold there grew a whopping 19 per cent to $580,000. Sandgate (Brisbane Council) Units $580,000 34.9 per cent 4/27 Second Avenue, Sandgate, sold for $575,000 on February 2, 2018. FOLLOW SOPHIE FOSTER ON FACEBOOK Honey Badger in ‘cracking’ photobomb effort Video Player is loading.Play VideoPlayNext playlist itemMuteCurrent Time 0:00/Duration 0:58Loaded: 0%Stream Type LIVESeek to live, currently playing liveLIVERemaining Time -0:58 Playback Rate1xChaptersChaptersDescriptionsdescriptions off, selectedCaptionscaptions settings, opens captions settings dialogcaptions off, selectedQuality Levels720p720pHD432p432p216p216p180p180pAutoA, selectedAudio Tracken (Main), selectedFullscreenThis is a modal window.Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window.TextColorWhiteBlackRedGreenBlueYellowMagentaCyanTransparencyOpaqueSemi-TransparentBackgroundColorBlackWhiteRedGreenBlueYellowMagentaCyanTransparencyOpaqueSemi-TransparentTransparentWindowColorBlackWhiteRedGreenBlueYellowMagentaCyanTransparencyTransparentSemi-TransparentOpaqueFont Size50%75%100%125%150%175%200%300%400%Text Edge StyleNoneRaisedDepressedUniformDropshadowFont FamilyProportional Sans-SerifMonospace Sans-SerifProportional SerifMonospace SerifCasualScriptSmall CapsReset restore all settings to the default valuesDoneClose Modal DialogEnd of dialog window.This is a modal window. This modal can be closed by pressing the Escape key or activating the close button.Close Modal DialogThis is a modal window. This modal can be closed by pressing the Escape key or activating the close button.PlayMuteCurrent Time 0:00/Duration 0:00Loaded: 0%Stream Type LIVESeek to live, currently playing liveLIVERemaining Time -0:00 Playback Rate1xFullscreenHow much do I need to retire?00:58last_img read more